Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001366 0.001484 0.001611 0.001758 0.001925 0.002109 0.002327
2025-11-23 0.001220 0.001381 0.001564 0.001789 0.002063 0.002388 0.002807
2025-11-30 0.001112 0.001294 0.001509 0.001787 0.002141 0.002586 0.003200
2025-12-07 0.001013 0.001203 0.001435 0.001744 0.002154 0.002693 0.003478
2025-12-14 0.000943 0.001139 0.001384 0.001722 0.002185 0.002819 0.003790
2025-12-21 0.000875 0.001072 0.001323 0.001677 0.002177 0.002885 0.004019
2025-12-28 0.000792 0.000979 0.001221 0.001567 0.002066 0.002789 0.003984
2026-01-04 0.000734 0.000915 0.001154 0.001500 0.002009 0.002766 0.004055
2026-01-11 0.000698 0.000879 0.001120 0.001476 0.002012 0.002831 0.004280
2026-01-18 0.000670 0.000852 0.001098 0.001467 0.002036 0.002930 0.004571
2026-01-25 0.000736 0.000957 0.001266 0.001751 0.002540 0.003872 0.006575
2026-02-01 0.000694 0.000908 0.001210 0.001690 0.002481 0.003846 0.006698
2026-02-08 0.000655 0.000865 0.001166 0.001652 0.002473 0.003935 0.007137
2026-02-15 0.000637 0.000852 0.001165 0.001683 0.002587 0.004268 0.008208
2026-02-22 0.000613 0.000827 0.001145 0.001681 0.002642 0.004496 0.009109
2026-03-01 0.000582 0.000791 0.001104 0.001641 0.002623 0.004573 0.009656
2026-03-08 0.000558 0.000764 0.001077 0.001621 0.002637 0.004721 0.010440
2026-03-15 0.000531 0.000732 0.001039 0.001580 0.002608 0.004768 0.010959
2026-03-22 0.000494 0.000681 0.000969 0.001478 0.002451 0.004511 0.010494
2026-03-29 0.000467 0.000646 0.000923 0.001416 0.002368 0.004414 0.010515
2026-04-05 0.000450 0.000626 0.000900 0.001394 0.002364 0.004500 0.011151
2026-04-12 0.000437 0.000611 0.000886 0.001386 0.002387 0.004653 0.012076
2026-04-19 0.000474 0.000679 0.001012 0.001648 0.003015 0.006478 0.020597